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On In the Belly of the Curve:

Q

It seems that your strategy of buying 20- to 29-year maturity munis, and swapping them out for shorter term ones with the same yield, will result in a loss of principal in the 20- to 29-year bonds. I have been using a strategy of purchasing only one- to two-year short-term bonds. I have not lost principle, and I have maintained advantageous yields compared to similar corporate bonds. Since I am in the maximum tax bracket, munis are providing a better return than corporate bonds. There are other reasons for wanting to preserve principal rather than play the interest rate guessing game. I don’t like to gamble and I don’t have a lot of time left on this planet.

D.K., New York

A

James A. Klotz responds:

The article recommends that investors who normally purchase bonds maturing in 30-plus years investigate the returns available on bonds maturing in 13 to 22 years. Investors can shorten their maturities while still capturing 95% of the yield available on much longer-term bonds.

The swap recommended, in a rising rate environment sometime in the future, would involve selling the intermediate-term bonds in order to purchase longer, higher-yielding securities. The theory is that in this scenario, rates would rise more (and prices would drop more), on 30-plus-year bonds than on the intermediate-term securities being purchased today. 

The concern for short-term buyers, such as yourself, is the inability to "lock in" a constant rate of return for any reasonable period of time. Although short-term interest rates are attractive today, should they decline significantly, it will hinder your ability to maintain your investment income.

May 4, 2007

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