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What the market thinks of some Jefferson County bonds

Q

I own some Jefferson County bonds due in 2015 that are insured by Ambac. I can’t understand why, with the increasing likelihood of imminent default, they are still trading in the low to mid 90s. Should I sell, or is something afoot that would cause these serial bonds to be paid off in full in 2015?

W.L., Florida

A

James A. Klotz responds:

Currently, Ambac is in the process of emerging from bankruptcy and has maintained its claims-paying ability through these difficult times.

Although there are no guarantees regarding the eventual redemption of your securities, based on the prices at which these bonds are trading, market participants are betting on a positive outcome.

May 31, 2012

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